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Rise of Procurement Tech

Startups driving access to the world’s largest TAM

From Red Tape to Red Carpet: Selling to the largest customer in the world made easy

Procurement Tech: Startups driving access to the world’s largest TAM

Imagine a buyer with the largest budget in the world who is always on a shopping spree and has an appetite for buying everything from an AI tutor to toilet seats to rockets. Wouldn't this be the buyer of any seller’s dream?

But this buyer is also the seller's worst nightmare. You need to open hundreds of websites to find out what they’re buying, navigate countless compliance requirements, and navigate different budget cycles.

This dreamy and nightmare all-in-one customer is the US government—the single largest buyer in the world. In FY23, the federal government spent $9.3 trillion, the largest spender in many sectors. But selling to the US government at the federal, state, and local levels is challenging, like navigating a complex labyrinth in complete darkness. The process involves rigorous compliance requirements, extensive paperwork, and often lengthy approval times, making it a formidable task for even the most determined businesses.

Because of this high barrier to entry, government spending doesn’t match the economy's representation. In FY23, only 28.4% of federal contract dollars were awarded to small businesses, while the group employs nearly half of the workforce and represents 43.5% of America’s GDP.

The government’s enormous purchasing power has caused enormous inefficiency and inequities. And this is not just a procurement problem. Critical areas like education, homelessness, and healthcare rely on the best solutions to reach the government and help it serve the country better.

The inflection point is nearly here.

The government has always been a big spender, but there are a few converging forces that make this a potentially solvable problem:

First, government procurement is highly fragmented. On the federal level, there are over 500 separate departments and agencies with procurement authority, each operating somewhat independently. The SLED (State, Local, Education) space is even more complex, with 50 States, 3,000+ Counties / Boroughs / Parishes, 36,000+ Cities / Towns / Municipalities, 12,000+ Public School Systems, 2,000+ Higher Education Institutions, and 38,000+ Special Districts.

Second, the government is significantly behind in the race to digitization. Of the 22 sectors McKinsey and HBR studied in their extent of digital transformation and adoption, the government ranked 5th to last. Moreover, the government exceeds the sector’s average in digital spending but only scored ⅓ of the sector average in business processes. As such, we have all encountered government sites that have clunky UI/UX and outdated links. A tiny number of federal government employees are UX researchers or designers. The handbook that classifies government positions has roles for sewing machine operators and bowling equipment repair but not design roles.

Virginia’s e-procurement platform “eVA” links buyers and sellers with 2000-era looking UI/UX

Third, the pain point for delivery is going up, and the market is ripe for 10x better solutions. Citizens demand better systems and look to the private sector as role models. According to Brookings, 75% said the federal government is almost always wasteful and inefficient. A 2019 Gallup poll indicated 80% of Americans agree that businesses can do things more efficiently than the government. The contrast between public vs. private sector service is stark. Consumer tech is getting better, which makes government services pail in comparison. The demand for more private sector to take over last mile delivery of public goods is gated by inefficient procurement, and such pressure will necessitate changes in the procurement process.

Fourth, there are policy tailwinds to support a more diverse set of government contractors. President Biden’s Feb 2024 Annual Agency Equity Action aims for 15% of federal contracts to go to SDB1 by 2025. If SDB had met this target in 2020, they would have received $25 billion more in contract awards.

Startups are beginning to tackle government procurement.

There is increasing opportunity and need for new, efficient, innovative service providers to work with the government. We see disruptors who are changing the landscape for both sellers and buyers.

One wave of new companies lowers the entry barrier for companies to sell to the government. Companies like StarBridge, Govly, CivIq, GovSignals, and Pursuit provide companies with a one-stop-shop platform to access the government’s active bids, provide intelligence on government contacts, and offer AI automation support in proposal writing. These companies make it easy for companies to access governments’ bids and provide wraparound support to help companies win. Companies that used to have five different tools to prioritize their accounts now only need one and can avoid stabbing leads in the dark. The centralized information platform brings transparency and usability into an otherwise difficult-to-navigate process.  

The other wave of companies is improving the purchasing process on the government side. Civic Marketplace is building a one-click compliance procurement marketplace for cities and municipal governments. Sourcewell is building a procurement co-op for SLED clients, starting in Minnesota. Sourcewell facilitates a cooperative purchasing program that harnesses the collective purchasing power of 50,000+ participating agencies to secure cost-effective and efficient purchasing solutions. Pavilion (formerly CoProcure) also plays in this space.

There are vertical-specific solutions, too. Companies like Odyssey Education act as a seamless intermediary between government funding and end consumers, liberating and decentralizing the flow of public dollars. Odyssey administers education savings accounts for state governments. Medicare Advantage is an all-in-one alternative to original Medicare. Private insurance companies offer Medicare Advantage plans that Medicare approves.

What will it take for startups to win in this space?

  • Deep domain knowledge and expertise in government procurement, especially recognizing that knowledge of one jurisdiction’s specific regulations is not readily transferable to another. This expertise helps navigate the system, anticipate potential challenges, and prepare effective strategies to address them.
  • Fluency in regulatory and compliance requirements: Startups’ that can swiftly and accurately communicate and meet regulatory requirements can gain competitive advantage and customers’ trust
  • Patience and strong design partners: Government procurement cycles can be long and slow. Startups must be prepared for lengthy sales cycles and maintain patience throughout. Additionally, strong design partners can help refine product offerings that wows users from the get-go.
  • Attention to capacity building of government officials to onramp to new solutions: Introducing new solutions in the government often requires cultural and operational shifts. Startups cannot overlook capacity building that provides training, support, and education to help civil servants effectively use the product. This approach also fosters stronger relationships and trust, paving the way for future collaborations.

We’re seeking startups serving the world’s largest TAM.

Improving the efficiency and effectiveness of the public sector is a critical component of our ownership thesis, as the collective citizenry owns public dollars. In the past, the government technology space was traditionally unattractive to investors. With the recent exit of OpenGov to Cox Industrious and the political pressure from Silicon Valley to tackle major regulated areas like space, energy, and manufacturing policy, GovTech has been rebranded and reborn to American Dynamism.

While the greatest concentration of venture dollars has gone to revitalizing military assets and space development, we see opportunity at every level. We are excited about the critical infrastructure layer of procurement.

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Our Manifesto

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Avalanche VC – A TechnoHumanist Manifesto

Change is the only constant. Everywhere technology is bounding ahead, and new, massive opportunities are emerging. Technology is surging. Yet, many legacy institutions are calcified in the past.

Basic human desires remain the same. Peace, stability, health, and progress have been priorities for humanity.

Technology is the driving force for improving quality of life, but the pace of change is now exponential.  Humanity struggles to keep up. Meanwhile, the demographics of humanity are reshaping society as lifespans are increasing and fertility rates are plummeting. The pyramid of age is being inverted. This has profound implications that are in the midst of transformation.

Technology Exponential Graph
Linear institutions, exponential technologies and the exponential gap
Lifespans are increasing globally
Source: Our world In Data
Steady decline in the fertility rate below replacement
Source: Our world In Data

The old formula for achieving personal prosperity is failing to produce results. Learning outcomes are stagnating. People are demanding more autonomy and freedom. Digital platforms facilitate increased productivity, but incomes are often stagnant. Legacy institutions are unable to product results and that is now visible. The future is not fully here.

What is required for a prosperous society in a reverse demographic period is amid dramatic transformation. How people learn, earn, and own is at the core of what is being reinvented. It is still early days.

The future looks different, but how?

Shifts in demographics and technology create the conditions for societal changes. Culture, economic structure, and public policy all eventually change based on these immutable forces. We refer to the trends that emerge as avalanches.

Every avalanche starts with invisible changes underneath the surface. They are difficult to see, in small niches, and are imperceivable except to those who are determined to find them and desperately paying attention.  

Once triggered, avalanches are unstoppable.

We conduct deep research, think analytically, and develop proprietary perspectives around these small shifts before they are broadly obvious.  

We partner with founders who perceive the invisible trends, use the latest technological advances, and build the new reality. These founders have been building far before  the landscape changed.  

Our capital is deployed to catalyze and capture the value behind the avalanche.

Changing systems and producing results at scale.

We focus initially on technologies transforming how people learn, earn, and own because these are core to the human experience, and each contain tipping points.

Learn

At the foundation of every successful life is a learning journey. Human social brains are wired to be curious and experimental. Learning compounds and creates more demand for itself. As incomes grow, the share of GDP going to education rises.

In a society automated by machine intelligence, the value of learning and being learned will be foundational and exceptional. Salespeople teach their customers. Scientists pioneer new technologies based on significant knowledge bases. Skilled laborers fix the infrastructure that we live in. Everyone, everywhere, will be supercharged by computer assistants, but they will need to know the foundations and key skills to stay ahead.

PRISMS OF REALITY - The new platform for STEM Education using spatial reasoning

Earn

The world of work and career is fundamentally changing to be more platform-driven, flexible, and independent. The talent marketplace is now global, skilled talent can geo-arbitrage and jurisdictions will compete for talent.

Everyone is an entrepreneur, or they must learn to think like one. We invest in platforms that drive a shift to greater efficiency and empowerment and increase skills in every vertical.

HUMANLY.IO - AI-Driving easier and more equitable hiring

Own

In every society, optimizing ownership of assets is the key to success.

Demographic and technological trends is driving huge changes in the key economic parts of ownership.

Effective public goods are critical to every society, but traditional institutions have yet to adopt to modern times. Startups will implement and run last-mile delivery of government programs to achieve public goals.

Pensions and home ownership have traditionally provided a buffer of savings and stability for aging populations, yet their accessibility is changing.  

In an AI-driven economy, owning data and rights to your intellectual property will be a critical element of wealth. Blockchains, cryptocurrencies, and programable money are technological solutions to decentralize ownership.

BLUESKY - End-to-end best-in-class software allowing for user control and ownership

We back founders catalyzing the future and building their life’s work.

We look for smart, thoughtful, and structured founders who take every element of their work seriously. The founders we back have prior work experience demonstrating excellence and high performance.

Founders who view their companies as their ‘life’s work,’ and who are solving a problem they care deeply about will persist. Our founders view their customers' success as integral to their own. This alignment of incentives creates a powerful formula for results.

Our job is to talent and idea scouts and then deep partners to our founders. We will do whatever it takes to help them be successful post-investment. Sometimes this means getting out of the way. Sometimes this means taking an active, partnering role.

Massive Success

We will unlock of trillions of dollars of economic output when our founders succeed.

The outcome will be enormous when the Avalanche opportunity meets the determined founder and is catalyzed with capital.

All big things start small. We are dedicated to massive success in a decades-long time frame. We know anything is possible with enough grit, talent, and belief.

My Life’s Work

For me, avalanche is personal. I’ve built my career from my early days leading Duke’s largest student union to pioneering low-cost private school chains in the developing world to building Delivery Associates. I have a keen eye for talent and ideas who are undervalued and whose time has come.

My last venture was building Delivery Associates with Sir Michael Barber. As an analyst at McKinsey, I met Michael and instantly saw the power of deliverology in action. It was clear to me early that Michael was a unique and visionary leader whose ideas were fundamentally important to the world. It was obvious from the inbound demand from clients, customers, and jobseekers that Delivery Associates was needed in the world. While we raised capital, I invested my career and sweat equity from the early days of idea formation to the final stages of negotiation in the exit to Private Equity. I loved building the company into an institution that disrupted an industry and aim to do that again.

Over my investing and operating career, I’ve seen the power of capital allocators. Investors decide which visions get funded and where we invest our finite time. With Avalanche, as with Delivery Associates, I aspire to be the premier partner to the most outrageously ambitious founders who are building their life’s work.

I’m not in this business to collect lottery tickets, blindly accumulate assets, or jump into party rounds. I’m here to work with serious people on serious ideas. We are not commodity capital.

I love working with founders to will the future into existence. Investors who do the work and have conviction, particularly early, can create the avalanches we need to push society forward and crowd-in capital. This is my life’s work.
Lastly, our firm is serious about how we do business.

  • Think independently. We don’t care what the crowd thinks. We use our own judgment and collect primary evidence to form original perspectives.
  • Outrageously ambitious, long-term and relentlessly practical today.  The future will be vastly different, but the reality of the world today needs to be addressed. We don’t lose sight of what’s needed on what timeframe.
  • Life-long relationships built on shared values. Success for us looks like building life-long relationships with our LPs, founders, team members and network partners. We are creating wealth together.
  • Stewardship of capital. We operate with humility, transparency, and integrity in all aspects of investing and capital management. Our goal is to maximize financial outcomes from all our partners.
  • Out cooperate the competition. We have a carry-share program for our network partners and advisors who help us build relationships and understand avalanche opportunities.

Join us.

We are amid huge societal transformations. We seek to investors, builders, and founders who share our long-term vision of the future and want to build together. This is our avalanche.

Please always be in touch.

Katelyn Donnelly
Founder, Avalanche VC